Interesting end to the 2nd week of #elxn45 with 338canada showing 3 ridings in Ontario flipping to NDP along with 3 in Manitoba. There are a few on the edge in BC as well.

This aligns with the NDP uptick from bumping around down to 6% to now recovering a couple points.

The Liberals and Conservatives may be coming together but too early to tell.

The graph now only includes the “A” rated polls in 338s list. It makes the graph a little less noisy.

Mr #Poilievre's tactical shift... // deAdder

So how are the respective leaders of the Libs & the Cons doing on protecting Canadian media today?

Poilievre gets Gilmore sacked for doing a CTV show on combatting election disinfo, doubles down on pledge to axe CBC.

Carney pledges $150M boost to underfunded CBC & to make its funding statutory.
#Elxn45 #Election2025 #cdnpoli

Friday’s 338Canada projections show a drop for the Liberals — 2% down to 91% probability of a majority with 194 seats likely, down 4.

https://338canada.com/federal.htm

The popular vote in Nepean for Carney is down 1% to 56% (99% odds of winning) and unchanged in Carleton for Poilievre at 50 % (94% odds of winning).

Reminder to Canadians:

It’s a lot simpler to defeat fascists at the ballot box than in the streets. VOTE!

#Elxn45 #CDNElxn2025 #CanPoli #Canada #NeverVoteConservative #Vote

From: https://mas.to/@bascule/114278334842521755

I still find it hard to believe that the projections from 338canada (and others) will hold on the Island.

I realize electoral outcomes can and do shift over long periods, but I refuse to believe that, for example, people on the North Island and Powell River will elect this racist fool, Aaron Gunn. He has had that distinction for years because of his consistent denial of residential school genocide.

338 has the CPC a full 10 points above its 2021 outcome, and the NDP 13 below. It beggars belief. The Liberals are not viable here and I have more faith in the electorate than the numbers show.

WE REASONABLE PEOPLE NEED TO MAKE SURE THESE RACIST CANDIDATES DON’T SUCCEED.

VOTE!

https://www.cbc.ca/news/indigenous/aaron-gunn-first-nations-social-posts-1.7500555
#cdnpoli #canpoli #elxn45 #polls #projections #firstnations #residentialschools

I see that the level of support for the Bloc has now fallen to meet that of the #CPC in #Québec at 23%. Support for the Liberals is still on the rise...

https://338canada.com/quebec.htm

And another candidate is dropped, this time by the Liberals in Edmonton. I'm thinking of starting a poll to see which party ends up dropping the most...

The #NDP have kept all their candidates so far, I think. Maybe there's just not much oppo research being conducted against them.

So how are the respective leaders of the Libs & the Cons doing today? #elxn45 #cdnpoli

NaPo super excited to have found a poll which allows them to run a headline saying the Cons are back in the lead. #Election 2025 #Elxn45

Only the best #VeryFinePeople

“In videos posted on social media, Aaron Gunn – the Conservative candidate in North Island-Powell River in British Columbia – has said Canada’s program of residential schools did not constitute an act of genocide and that the schools are “much-maligned.”

“There was no genocide. Stop lying to people and read a book,” Gunn wrote in 2020.”

#CPC #Elxn45 #CDNPoli

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-chief-wants-tories-to-drop-candidate-accused-of-denying-residential/

Looks like the Rhinoceros Party has decided where to have their fun.

NO MATTER HOW DEEP CBC TRIES TO BURY THE LEAD...

Chris Barber and Tamara Lich have been found guilty of counselling others to commit mischief and committing mischief themselves.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/tamara-lich-chris-barber-freedom-convoy-trial-decision-1.7500015

Today's remarks from Prime Minister Mark Carney:

"If the United States no longer wants to lead, Canada will take that role.

We answered the call to defeat fascism.
We know we are not always perfect, but we always strive to be good. We do not do things because they are easy, but because they are right.
We will rise to meet this challenge, and we will emerge stronger."