"Bumper sticker explanations of complicated issues are usually wildly inaccurate!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
There are a lot of people with instant insight on everything and yet who are experts at nothing.
Isn't that the way it goes?
If you spend any time talking with anyone today, it would seem that they are suddenly experts on tariffs and their impact on regional, national, and local economies. Everyone is offering up concise statements of what it means, where it will go, and what will happen. I prefer to listen to global trade experts and economists - folks who are trained in this stuff. In the same way, I'd rather listen to a PhD in vaccine medicine than some quack who gets his information off an obscure conspiracy theorist's Website.
That's why ideas like "trickle-down economics will work" statements are always such a false promise. The notion that tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations automatically benefit everyone has been repeatedly challenged by economic research showing limited "trickle-down" effects and increasing wealth inequality. And yet the bumper sticker wisdom lives on.
Why does this happen?
"Bumper sticker" phrases - catchy one-liners about complex issues - sacrifice accuracy for memorability. They fail to address the multiple perspectives, historical context, systemic factors, competing values, and technical details that complex problems involve. They often aren't based on much more than opinions.
The fact is, oversimplifying leads to:
- Overlooking cause-effect complexities
- Creating false either/or scenarios
- Substituting emotion for analysis
- Reinforcing existing beliefs
Good leaders know when simplicity works and when issues demand a deeper explanation. They engage with complexity and guide others through it thoughtfully. They also know that while bumper-sticker wisdom can be popular, it causes more problems than good.
Ironically, my statement about bumper stickers is itself a bumper sticker - though one that points out its limitations!
Perhaps we need simple reminders to look beyond simplicity.
**#Complexity** **#Nuance** **#Understanding** **#Context** **#Depth** **#Oversimplification** **#Analysis** **#Thinking** **#Perspective** **#Knowledge**
Futurist Jim Carroll is willing to admit that perhaps many of his Daily Inspiration posts contain bumper-sticker wisdom. He lives and owns the contradiction.
Greg Cocks 
Northern Germany
07/2023
f5.6, 1/1000, 60mm focal, LUMIX S5M2
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