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#iea

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#EnergyTransition #IEA - Paving the way towards a sustainable future or lagging behind? An ex-post analysis of the International Energy Agency's World Energy Outlook - "When examining specific technologies; however, a bias towards fossil fuel and nuclear electricity generation and against renewables can be observed, as the former were consistently overestimated, and the latter consistently underestimated compared to historical developments. The normative scenarios, while better predicting the trends of fossil fuel generation, particularly that of coal and oil generation, have largely overestimated the role of nuclear power and similarly underestimated renewable growth." - Gabriel Lopez, Yousef Pourjamal, Christian Breyer, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Volume 212, 2025, 115371, ISSN 1364-0321, doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2025.11

#Energiewende #IEA - Prognosen der Internationalen Energieagentur - "Die Kritik zielt vor allem auf die intransparente Berechnung der Prognosen ab. Zudem könnte die erhebliche Unterschätzung der Wachstumsraten erneuerbarer Energiequellen und des Potenzials der Speicherung von Energie in Form von Wasserstoff, Methanol oder Ammoniak die notwendige Abkehr von fossilen Brennstoffen verzögern. Das zumindest schließt die Forschungsgruppe aus den untersuchten Berichten der IEA." - von Mario Petzold - Eventl. € golem.de/news/zukunftsprognose

Golem.de · Zukunftsprognosen: Internationale Energieagentur nimmt falsche Entwicklungen an - Golem.deBy Mario Petzold

Klares Lob von der #IEA: Deutschlands neues #Heizungsgesetz wird als „großartige Leistung“ gewertet, mit klaren Zielen, echten Klimawirkungen und #Investitionssicherheit.

Kritik gibt’s hingegen an der Idee der „Technologieoffenheit“. Sie bremse den Umstieg auf #Wärmepumpen.

Die IEA mahnt Kurs zu halten, besonders bei #Elektromobilität und #ÖPNV-Ausbau. Die #Energiewende sei eine Chance für #Wirtschaft und #Klimaschutz.

focus.de/earth/analyse/interna

Das Interesse an der Kernenergie sei so groß wie seit der Ölkrise in den 1970er Jahren nicht mehr. Mehr als 40 Länder streben einen Ausbau der Kernenergie an, um den steigenden Strombedarf zu decken. 📈

Die weltweite Stromerzeugung aus Kernkraftwerken soll 2025 einen neuen Höchststand erreichen.

Zum Artikel: heise.de/-10244546?wt_mc=sm.re

#Coal use to reach new peak – and remain at near-record levels for years
#IEA said coal rebound, after slump during Covid pandemic, means consumption of the #fossilfuel is now on track to rise to a new peak of 8.77bn tonnes by the end of the year -- and could remain until 2027.
#China consumes 30% more of the fuel than rest of world put together. In developed economies coal power generation has already passed its peak forecast to fall by 5% in #US and 12% in EU this year.
theguardian.com/business/2024/

The Guardian · Coal use to reach new peak – and remain at near-record levels for yearsBy Jillian Ambrose

“Naïve Optimism vs Reality: The True State of Our Planet and Energy Future” by Art Berman

https://www.artberman.com/blog/naive-optimism-vs-reality-the-true-state-of-our-planet-and-energy-future/

«Last week, I spent time with oil CEOs who understood the complex environmental issues tied to energy but still believed everything would work out for humanity. Technology will fix most of the world’s problems, and progress will take care of the rest.

Yesterday, the International Energy Agency offered a similarly optimistic take from the renewable energy side. Its latest report claims that a booming clean energy market will drive economic growth, create jobs, and bring sustainability. They argue this shift will boost energy security and reduce fossil fuel reliance—despite the steep challenges and the need for massive policy shifts worldwide.

Both views carry a kind of naïve optimism, assuming that the system will self-correct despite clear evidence to the contrary. This human-centered thinking assumes that what’s good for us is good for the planet, but the reality couldn’t be more different. The evidence shows that this false belief is steering us and living systems in the wrong direction.»

Climate is just one of the limits, and each of them is potentially catastrophic for all life, not just human life.